Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rogaska vs Drava

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026 SD Rogaska Slatina, Rogaska Slatina
Sat, May 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rogaska host Drava in the 3. SNL - East 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rogaska have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Drava's 0.89 scored and 1.56 conceded. Head-to-head, Rogaska have won 3 to Drava's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.31) point toward Rogaska. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rogaska
30%
Draws
58%
Drava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Drava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rogaska carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Drava a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 18%
Drava Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rogaska Drava
Matches Played 27 9
Wins 8 1
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.37 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. SNL - East
Rogaska vs Drava
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - East
Drava vs Rogaska
0:0
May 21, 2022 2. SNL
Drava vs Rogaska
1:3
Feb 4, 2022 Club Friendly
Drava vs Rogaska
1:4
Nov 6, 2021 2. SNL
Rogaska vs Drava
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rogaska 10 / 100
Drava 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rogaska Drava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Rogaska scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rogaska remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rogaska VS Drava
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rogaska

(Home)
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3
Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2
Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1
Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3
NK Smartno
Page 1 of 6

Drava

(Away)
13 Sept
Drava
1 : 0
Zavrc
06 Sept
Race
1 : 0
Drava
30 Aug
Drava
0 : 1
Podvinci
23 Aug
Fuzinar
1 : 1
Drava
16 Aug
Drava
2 : 2
SD Videm
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)