Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rogaska vs Mons Claudius

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2016/2017 SD Rogaska Slatina, Rogaska Slatina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rogaska in this 3. SNL - North 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rogaska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rogaska
15%
Draws
73%
Mons Claudius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mons Claudius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Rogaska have won more games recently than Mons Claudius.
  • 12% — that's where the model lands on Rogaska taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - North 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rogaska have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 20%
Mons Claudius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rogaska Mons Claudius
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Mons Claudius vs Rogaska
0:9
May 6, 2017 3. SNL - North
Mons Claudius vs Rogaska
1:3
Oct 22, 2016 3. SNL - North
Rogaska vs Mons Claudius
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rogaska 49 / 100
Mons Claudius 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rogaska Mons Claudius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rogaska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mons Claudius conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rogaska scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Mons Claudius's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rogaska VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rogaska

(Home)
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3
Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2
Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1
Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3
NK Smartno
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Mons Claudius

(Away)
02 Sept
Mons Claudius
0 : 8
Radomlje
05 Feb
Mons Claudius
0 : 9
Rogaska
13 Oct
Mons Claudius
1 : 2
Dravograd
06 Oct
Pohorje
1 : 3
Mons Claudius
29 Sept
Mons Claudius
2 : 0
Dravinja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 2 26 21 3 2 107:25 66
2 Rogaska 26 16 6 4 76:29 54
3 Fuzinar 26 12 6 8 48:34 42
4 Dravograd 26 12 5 9 40:38 41
5 Korotan Prevalje 26 12 4 10 57:44 40
6 Mons Claudius 26 11 6 9 51:44 39
7 Smarje 26 11 5 10 37:39 38
8 Dravinja 26 11 3 12 35:39 36
9 Sampion Celje 26 10 3 13 47:57 33
10 SD Videm 26 8 5 13 36:54 29
11 Dobrovce 26 8 5 13 41:63 29
12 Lenart 26 7 6 13 36:58 27
13 SD Brunsvik 26 7 5 14 46:66 26
14 NK Smartno 26 4 2 20 19:86 14
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)