Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rogaska vs Zavrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2025/2026 SD Rogaska Slatina, Rogaska Slatina
Rogaska Logo

Rogaska

2 - 1
FT
Zavrc Logo

Zavrc

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rogaska in this 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rogaska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Rogaska
20%
Draws
64%
Zavrc
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zavrc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zavrc lately — more wins on the board than Rogaska.
  • Model gives Rogaska a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 17%
Zavrc Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rogaska Zavrc
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 3. SNL - East
Rogaska vs Zavrc
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 3. SNL - East
Zavrc vs Rogaska
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rogaska 36 / 100
Zavrc 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rogaska Zavrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rogaska scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Zavrc let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Zavrc lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rogaska VS Zavrc
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rogaska

(Home)
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3
Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2
Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1
Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0
Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3
NK Smartno
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Zavrc

(Away)
23 May
NK Brezice
6 : 0
Zavrc
16 May
NK Carda Martjanci
2 : 1
Zavrc
09 May
Zavrc
1 : 1
Race
30 Apr
Podvinci
2 : 3
Zavrc
25 Apr
Zavrc
1 : 4
Fuzinar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Videm 24 16 4 4 58:32 52
2 NK Brezice 24 15 5 4 43:25 50
3 Korotan Prevalje 24 11 6 7 37:34 39
4 NK Carda Martjanci 24 11 4 9 49:39 37
5 Fuzinar 24 10 6 8 50:33 36
6 Hajdina 24 10 5 9 29:31 35
7 Zavrc 24 10 3 11 31:37 33
8 NK Smartno 24 9 6 9 38:36 33
9 Podvinci 24 8 6 10 26:28 30
10 Race 24 6 10 8 28:30 28
11 Rogaska 24 6 8 10 32:36 26
12 Ljutomer 24 3 9 12 35:53 18
13 Dobrovce 24 3 4 17 22:64 13
14 Drava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)