Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rohda Raalte vs HVV Hollandia

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Tue, Sep 2, 2025
4 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rohda Raalte play HVV Hollandia in the KNVB Beker. Rohda Raalte are favorites here. Recently, Rohda Raalte averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. HVV Hollandia averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Rohda Raalte won 1, HVV Hollandia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 2, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Rohda Raalte and 1.56 for HVV Hollandia. This points to a Rohda Raalte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rohda Raalte
17%
Draws
26%
HVV Hollandia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rohda Raalte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Rohda Raalte picked up more points recently compared to HVV Hollandia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Rohda Raalte Clean Sheet 15%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rohda Raalte HVV Hollandia
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 KNVB Beker
Rohda Raalte vs HVV Hollandia
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rohda Raalte Compare

Top Goalscorer Willemsen E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van der Veen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

HVV Hollandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lieshout J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rohda Raalte 54 / 100
HVV Hollandia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rohda Raalte HVV Hollandia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rohda Raalte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rohda Raalte & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rohda Raalte attacking → ← attacking HVV Hollandia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rohda Raalte scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

HVV Hollandia let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Rohda Raalte went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

HVV Hollandia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75