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Rolandia EC vs Arapongas

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Villela I.
31' Event
de Lima Rodrigues D.
64' Event
de Lima Rodrigues D.

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 3 2024 game between Rolandia EC and Arapongas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rolandia EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Rolandia EC
30%
Draws
29%
Arapongas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rolandia EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arapongas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rolandia EC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rolandia EC Clean Sheet 16%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rolandia EC Arapongas
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2024 Paranaense 3
Rolandia EC vs Arapongas
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs Rolandia EC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rolandia EC Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lima Rodrigues D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Arapongas Compare

Top Goalscorer Villela I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rolandia EC 36 / 100
Arapongas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rolandia EC Arapongas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rolandia EC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Arapongas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rolandia EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rolandia EC VS Arapongas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.17
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Rolandia EC

(Home)
26 Oct
Rolandia EC
2 : 2
Vere FC
19 Oct
Vere FC
1 : 0
Rolandia EC
03 Oct
Araucaria
3 : 0
Rolandia EC
28 Sept
Rolandia EC
3 : 2
Iraty
24 Sept
Hope Internacional
0 : 1
Rolandia EC
Page 1 of 4

Arapongas

(Away)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batel 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Hope Internacional 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Iraty 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
4 Araucaria 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
5 Prudentopolis 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arapongas 8 6 1 1 24:5 19
2 Rolandia EC 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
4 Campo Mourao 8 3 1 4 18:15 10
5 CA Cambe 8 0 1 7 3:31 1
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vere FC 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Toledo 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Oeste Brasil 6 3 0 3 10:5 9
4 Uniao PR 6 1 0 5 1:11 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams