Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roma City vs Ancona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Martiniello A.
32' Event
Meola K.
83' Event
Rovinelli E.

AI Match Summary

Ancona in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ancona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Roma City
35%
Draws
40%
Ancona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ancona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ancona lately — more wins on the board than Roma City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Roma City Clean Sheet 68%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Ancona
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Ancona
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Roma City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Meola K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ancona Compare

Top Goalscorer Martiniello A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rovinelli E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 42 / 100
Ancona 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Ancona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Roma City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ancona let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ancona
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roma City

(Home)
11 May
AS Sora
1 : 0
Roma City
04 May
Roma City
1 : 1
Vigor Senigallia
27 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Roma City
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0
Isernia
13 Apr
Castelfidardo
0 : 0
Roma City
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Ancona

(Away)
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Ancona
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Ancona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)