Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roma City vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hernandez K.
45' Event
Forcini A.
71' Event
Infantino S.

AI Match Summary

Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Roma City
30%
Draws
34%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roma City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio have won more games recently than Roma City.
  • Win probability leans Roma City's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Notaresco Calcio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Roma City Clean Sheet 20%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Notaresco Calcio
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Roma City
1:0
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Roma City
3:2
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Notaresco Calcio
6:1
May 21, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Notaresco Calcio
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Forcini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Infantino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 36 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Notaresco Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Roma City found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Notaresco Calcio has conceded goals in 63% of their last 41 outings.

Recent resilience: Roma City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sambenedettese34219461:2172
2Aquila Calcio341711648:3162
3Teramo34179851:3360
4Calcio Chieti341611752:3958
5Fossombrone341214844:3650
6Ancona341381335:4047
7Avezzano341371441:4346
8Castelfidardo341291339:3445
9Atletico Ascoli3410131135:3943
10Vigor Senigallia349151036:3842
11Termoli349141137:4441
12Recanatese3410101442:5340
13AS Sora349131232:3940
14Notaresco Calcio341081637:4538
15Civitanovese Calcio348131331:3937
16Roma City348111532:3635
17Isernia348101632:5734
18Fermana346111724:4227