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Roma City vs Vigor Senigallia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Alonzi F.
49' Event
Bamba M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Roma City
30%
Draws
34%
Vigor Senigallia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roma City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Senigallia have won more games recently than Roma City.
  • Model gives Roma City a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Roma City Clean Sheet 19%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roma City Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 17
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Roma City
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Roma City vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Roma City
2:2
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Roma City
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roma City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Vigor Senigallia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonzi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roma City 36 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roma City Vigor Senigallia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roma City found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Vigor Senigallia conceded in 71% of 38 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Roma City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vigor Senigallia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sambenedettese34219461:2172
2Aquila Calcio341711648:3162
3Teramo34179851:3360
4Calcio Chieti341611752:3958
5Fossombrone341214844:3650
6Ancona341381335:4047
7Avezzano341371441:4346
8Castelfidardo341291339:3445
9Atletico Ascoli3410131135:3943
10Vigor Senigallia349151036:3842
11Termoli349141137:4441
12Recanatese3410101442:5340
13AS Sora349131232:3940
14Notaresco Calcio341081637:4538
15Civitanovese Calcio348131331:3937
16Roma City348111532:3635
17Isernia348101632:5734
18Fermana346111724:4227