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Romagna Centro vs Mezzolara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Romagna Centro and Mezzolara finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Romagna Centro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Romagna Centro
30%
Draws
39%
Mezzolara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mezzolara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Romagna Centro come out ahead of Mezzolara on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Romagna Centro Clean Sheet 20%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romagna Centro Mezzolara
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 4
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Romagna Centro vs Mezzolara
4:2
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Romagna Centro
0:0
Feb 7, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Romagna Centro
0:2
Oct 4, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Romagna Centro vs Mezzolara
0:0
Jan 21, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Romagna Centro vs Mezzolara
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romagna Centro 31 / 100
Mezzolara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romagna Centro Mezzolara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romagna Centro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Romagna Centro scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Mezzolara conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Romagna Centro stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mezzolara
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Romagna Centro

(Home)
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Romagna Centro
22 Apr
Romagna Centro
0 : 2
Pianese
15 Apr
Rimini
3 : 2
Romagna Centro
08 Apr
Romagna Centro
1 : 2
Fiorenzuola
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Mezzolara

(Away)
06 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Rondinella
05 May
Mezzolara
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
28 Apr
Forli FC
2 : 0
Mezzolara
21 Apr
Mezzolara
3 : 1
Sammaurese
14 Apr
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Aglianese Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)