Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Romford vs Chelmsford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Da Costa K.
60' Event
Oluwo A.
72' Event
Da Costa K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Chelmsford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Romford
30%
Draws
52%
Chelmsford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelmsford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelmsford come out ahead of Romford on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Chelmsford taking it.
  • Chelmsford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelmsford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Romford Clean Sheet 10%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romford Chelmsford
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 2 13
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 FA Cup
Romford vs Chelmsford
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chelmsford Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oluwo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romford 10 / 100
Chelmsford 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romford Chelmsford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Romford scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Chelmsford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Romford stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Romford VS Chelmsford
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Romford

(Home)
05 Sept
Harleston Town
3 : 1
Romford
16 Jul
Romford
0 : 7
Hornchurch
12 Jul
Romford
0 : 4
Dagenham & Red.
01 Oct
Romford
0 : 5
Chelmsford
17 Sept
Potters
1 : 2
Romford
Page 1 of 6

Chelmsford

(Away)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
Charnock Richard 3
Pontefract Collieries 4
Stourbridge 3
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 3
Kimberley Miners Welfare 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Neots 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Tamworth 6
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Stafford 0
Newcastle Town 2
Nantwich 0
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Kempston 1
Bedford 2
Barwell 4
Highgate 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Stocksbridge 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Ashton United 0
Ashington 3
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 2
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Stalybridge 0
Lancaster 1
Bury AFC 2
North Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 2
Penistone Church 1
South Shields 3
Workington 2
Whitby 5
Bishop Auckland 0
Marske United 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
TBD -
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Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
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TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Romulus 0
Grantham Town 3
Rugby 4
Lichfield City 3
Stourport 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Rushall 1
Redditch 4
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Hertford Town 0
Royston Town 3
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
Dunston 3
City Of Liverpool 0
Witton Albion 0
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Liversedge 2
Glossop North End 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
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Guiseley 2
Avro 1
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Wrexham -
Altrincham -
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Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 3
Whitchurch Alport 1
Matlock 0
Ilkeston 2
Edgware Town 1
Grays 4
Dunstable Town 0
Shefford 2
TBD -
TBD -
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Chesterfield -
Mickleover 2
Alvechurch 3
Lye Town 1
Harborough 2
Leamington -
TBD -
Nuneaton 3
Belper Town 1
Hednesford 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 3
Loughborough Students 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Worksop 5
Worcester Raiders 0
Goole 0
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 1
Whickham 0
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Warrington Rylands 0
Hyde 4
Morpeth 3
Warrington Town 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Notts County -
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Shepshed 1
Coalville Town 3
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Macclesfield 1
St. Albans -
TBD -
Bury Town 0
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 5
Enfield Town 1
St Ives Town 4
Barking 0
Telford -
TBD -
Stone Old Alleynians 0
Chasetown 1
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Halifax -
Bromley -
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Sheppey United 2
Lewes 10
Three Bridges 2
Erith Town 1
Hereford -
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Bromsgrove 4
Stamford 3
Torquay -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Bognor Regis 6
Cray Wanderers 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Hamworthy United 0
Gosport Borough 4
Royal Wootton 2
Paulton Rovers 4
Yeovil -
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Taunton Town -
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Cinderford Town 2
Laverstock & Ford 3
Walton & Hersham 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Midhurst & Easebourne 0
Chatham 6
Maidenhead -
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Slough Town -
TBD -
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Worthing FC -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Marlow 0
Uxbridge 1
Dorking Wanderers -
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Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 3
Hastings 0
Eastbourne Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
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Dover Ath. -
Bath City -
TBD -
Roman Glass St George 0
Hartley Wintney 4
Phoenix Sports 4
Rusthall 1
Sevenoaks 2
Kingstonian 1
Woking -
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Southend -
Dartford -
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East Grinstead Town 3
Beckenham Town 5
Holyport 0
Binfield 1
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Tonbridge -
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TBD -
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Dagenham & Red. -
Potton United 1
Hendon 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Herne Bay 2
Horsham FC 1
Ashford United 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Metropolitan Police 4
Corinthian 3
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Burgess Hill 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Sholing 5
Ashford Town 2
Westfield 4
Carshalton 5
VCD Athletic 1
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Wincanton Town 2
AFC Totton 9
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Winchester City 5
TBD -
Weymouth -
Welling -
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Fisher 5
Spelthorne Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Haringey Borough 1
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hornchurch 3
Hitchin 0
Heybridge 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Poole Town 0
Salisbury 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
North Leigh 5
AFC Stoneham 3
Didcot 3
Plymouth Parkway 4
Yate 4
Aylesbury Vale 3
Frome Town 0
Tiverton 1
Chesham 5
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Bracknell Town 4
Harrow Borough 1
Cleethorpes 0
Stratford 4
TBD -
Banbury -
Berkhamsted Town 2
FC Witham Town 1
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Concord Rangers -
Boreham Wood -
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Wealdstone -
Barnet -
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Basingstoke 2
Weston-super-Mare 4
Blackfield & Langley 2
Shepton Mallet 3
Bishops Cleeve 3
Westbury United 1
Torpoint 1
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 3
Leiston 1
Lowestoft 0
Sheringham 1
Waltham Abbey 7
Buckhurst Hill 2
Brightlingsea 3
Mildenhall 0
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Maidstone -
Aveley 2
Potters 3
Romford 3
Hashtag 2
Chelmsford -
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Harlow 0
Kings Langley 2
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Aldershot -
Hungerford -
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Gloucester City -
Merthyr Town 5
Truro 2
Larkhall 0
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Aylesbury United 0
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Leatherhead 1
Chichester City 2
Willand Rovers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Wimborne 0
Dorchester 1
Farnborough -
TBD -
Hythe 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Enfield FC 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Billericay 4
Leverstock Green 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Dereham 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Quarter-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
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Chester 2
Pontefract Collieries 0
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 1
Cheshunt 3
Neots 1
Kidderminster 1
Tamworth 0
Newcastle Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
AFC Fylde 4
Farsley 1
King’s Lynn 4
Bedford 1
Barwell 1
Kettering 4
Stocksbridge 2
Marine 1
Ashington 2
Bradford PA 1
Clitheroe 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 4
Bury AFC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 0
South Shields 5
Whitby 0
Marske United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Rugby 0
Lichfield City 0
Boston United 4
Redditch 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Royston Town 0
Scarborough Athletic 3
Dunston 2
United of Manchester 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Liversedge 1
Chorley 10
Blyth Spartans 2
Guiseley 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Ilkeston 4
Grays 1
Shefford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Harborough 0
Leamington 0
Nuneaton 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 5
Brackley 0
Worksop 2
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Buxton 2
Alfreton 1
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Darlington FC 3
Southport 2
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town 1
Macclesfield 0
St. Albans 2
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 0
St Ives Town 3
Telford 2
Chasetown 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes 1
Three Bridges 5
Hereford 1
Bromsgrove 0
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Gosport Borough 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Laverstock & Ford 0
Walton & Hersham 5
Chatham 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town 1
Worthing FC 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Uxbridge 0
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 1
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Phoenix Sports 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Dartford 1
Beckenham Town 2
Binfield 4
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Wingate & Finchley 1
Herne Bay 2
Ashford United 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Burgess Hill 1
Chippenham Town 3
Sholing 0
Westfield 1
Carshalton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
AFC Totton 0
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 3
Welling 3
Fisher 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hornchurch 3
Heybridge 2
Braintree 3
Salisbury 1
Oxford City 2
North Leigh 2
Plymouth Parkway 3
Yate 2
Tiverton 1
Chesham 2
Bracknell Town 5
Stratford 0
Banbury 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Concord Rangers 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Shepton Mallet 0
Bishops Cleeve 6
Helston Athletic 7
Needham Market 2
Sheringham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Brightlingsea 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Potters 1
Romford 2
Chelmsford 6
Kings Langley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Hungerford 1
Gloucester City 3
Merthyr Town 3
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
Chichester City 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Dorchester 0
Farnborough 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield FC 0
Billericay 4
East Thurrock Utd 0
Biggleswade Town 3
Semi-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
Chester 4
Hanley Town 0
Cheshunt 1
Kidderminster 2
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde 6
King’s Lynn 6
Kettering 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ashington 5
Clitheroe 1
Bury AFC 3
TBD -
York City -
South Shields 5
Marske United 2
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Boston United 4
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
Curzon Ashton 5
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Shefford 0
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Nuneaton 0
Gainsborough 0
Worksop 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Buxton 3
Hyde 1
Darlington FC 0
Notts County -
TBD -
Coalville Town 3
Sudbury 0
St Ives Town 3
Chasetown 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Hereford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hanwell Town 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Beckenham Town 5
Binfield 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Herne Bay 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Chippenham Town 2
Carshalton 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Weymouth 3
Welling 0
Hornchurch 3
Braintree 0
Oxford City 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Yate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Banbury 2
Berkhamsted Town 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 7
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 2
Brightlingsea 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Romford 0
Chelmsford 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Gloucester City 0
Merthyr Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Folkestone 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Farnborough 5
Billericay 3
Biggleswade Town 6
Final
Oldham 4
Chester 3
Kidderminster 2
AFC Fylde 4
King’s Lynn 3
Ashington 1
Bury AFC 1
York City 2
South Shields 1
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 1
Basford Utd. 0
Peterborough Sports 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Wrexham 4
Altrincham 3
Gateshead 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Chesterfield 3
Alvechurch 3
Worksop 2
Buxton 2
Hyde 1
Notts County 2
Coalville Town 3
St Ives Town 0
Halifax 3
Bromley 1
Hereford 2
Torquay 4
Hampton & Richmond 3
Yeovil 0
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastleigh 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Sevenoaks 0
Woking 2
Southend 1
Beckenham Town 0
Dagenham & Red. 7
Hendon 2
Chippenham Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weymouth 2
Hornchurch 1
Oxford City 4
Bracknell Town 2
Banbury 1
Boreham Wood 5
Wealdstone 3
Barnet 3
Weston-super-Mare 0
Needham Market 1
Maidstone 0
Chelmsford 2
Aldershot 0
Merthyr Town 2
Folkestone 1
Farnborough 7
Biggleswade Town 0