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Rondonopolis EC vs Caceres

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Caceres advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rondonopolis EC
35%
Draws
30%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Caceres have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Rondonopolis EC are scoring more at 1.6.
  • Model gives Rondonopolis EC a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Caceres, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%
Caceres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Caceres
Matches Played 20 17
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.6 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Rondonopolis EC vs Caceres
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Caceres vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
Caceres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Recent resilience: Rondonopolis EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Rondonopolis EC scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rondonopolis EC VS Caceres
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 25%
33% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Rondonopolis EC 0
Caceres 1
Sinop FC 6
Várzea Grande EC 2
Acao 1
Sport Sinop 2
Pocone 3
Gremio Sorriso 1
Semi-finals
Caceres 3
Sinop FC 0
Sport Sinop 4
Pocone 3
Final
Caceres 3
Sport Sinop 2