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Rondonopolis EC vs Várzea Grande EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Rondonopolis EC Logo

Rondonopolis EC

3 - 3
FT
Várzea Grande EC Logo

Várzea Grande EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense 2 2024 game between Rondonopolis EC and Várzea Grande EC finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rondonopolis EC
30%
Draws
42%
Várzea Grande EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Várzea Grande EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Várzea Grande EC come out ahead of Rondonopolis EC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rondonopolis EC a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%
Várzea Grande EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Várzea Grande EC
Matches Played 20 35
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.6 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Rondonopolis EC vs Várzea Grande EC
3:3
Apr 5, 2015 Matogrossense
Várzea Grande EC vs Rondonopolis EC
2:1
Mar 26, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Várzea Grande EC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
Várzea Grande EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Várzea Grande EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Várzea Grande EC has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Rondonopolis EC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rondonopolis EC scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Várzea Grande EC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Várzea Grande EC

(Away)
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
20 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Uniao Rondonopolis
13 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
1 : 2
Várzea Grande EC
08 Feb
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Várzea Grande EC
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)