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Roosendaal vs Gemert - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Roosendaal host Gemert in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Roosendaal have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Gemert's 1.97 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Gemert slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.00, favoring Roosendaal. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Roosendaal
15%
Draws
59%
Gemert
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gemert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Roosendaal at 2.03 per game, Gemert at 1.97.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Roosendaal Clean Sheet 10%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roosendaal Gemert
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
Roosendaal vs Gemert
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Roosendaal
2:2
Aug 9, 2005 KNVB Beker
Gemert vs Roosendaal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roosendaal 30 / 100
Gemert 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roosendaal Gemert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roosendaal found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Gemert has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Roosendaal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Roosendaal VS Gemert
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Roosendaal

(Home)
18 Oct
EVV
3 : 3
Roosendaal
10 Oct
Roosendaal
2 : 4
VV Zwaluwen
03 Oct
TOGB
4 : 3
Roosendaal
26 Sept
Roosendaal
3 : 1
VVSB
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
Page 1 of 6

Gemert

(Away)
17 Oct
Gemert
2 : 0
Achilles Veen
10 Oct
VV Noordwijk
4 : 0
Gemert
04 Oct
Gemert
0 : 2
Lisse
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)