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Rosario Central vs Aldosivi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sigali L. In: Pombo J.
Out: Sigali L.
52' Event
Sosa A.
56'
Sub
Fernandez J. In: Campaz J.
Out: Fernandez J.

AI Match Summary

Rosario Central in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosario Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Rosario Central
20%
Draws
28%
Aldosivi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosario Central lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi.
  • Rosario Central are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central Aldosivi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Aldosivi
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Rosario Central
1:1
Jul 4, 2022 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Rosario Central
2:1
Apr 15, 2022 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Rosario Central
1:0
Aug 2, 2021 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Aldosivi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Campaz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 86 / 100
Aldosivi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central Aldosivi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldosivi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Rosario Central stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Rosario Central scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Aldosivi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)
06 Oct
Banfield
1 : 1
Rosario Central
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 7

Aldosivi

(Away)
09 Oct
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Sarmiento Junin
04 Oct
Huracan
1 : 0
Aldosivi
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
3 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
4 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)