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Rosario Central vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2021 game between Rosario Central and Ferrocarril Palmeiras finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rosario Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rosario Central
33%
Draws
27%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosario Central carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rosario Central a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 14%
Ferrocarril Palmeiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rosario Central vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
2:1
Sep 18, 2021 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Rosario Central
2:1
Oct 13, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rosario Central vs Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0:2
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ferrocarril Palmeiras vs Rosario Central
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 39 / 100
Ferrocarril Palmeiras 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central Ferrocarril Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rosario Central scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Ferrocarril Palmeiras has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rosario Central stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)
25 Jun
Stormers SL
2 : 0
Rosario Central
17 Jun
Rosario Central
4 : 0
Huracan Tupiza
11 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Real Potosi
04 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Stormers SL
28 May
Huracan Tupiza
0 : 1
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 7

Ferrocarril Palmeiras

(Away)
10 Oct
America de Villazon
0 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
07 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
0 : 1
Wilstermann Cooperativas
02 Oct
Rosario Central
2 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
01 Oct
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
1 : 1
America de Villazon
25 Sept
Wilstermann Cooperativas
2 : 1
Ferrocarril Palmeiras
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libertad Gran Mamore 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 CD Kivon 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Los Almendros 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Villa Real Sociedad 6 0 2 4 8:14 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Mojocoya 6 4 1 1 9:2 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 8:6 7
4 Atletico de Padilla 6 0 1 5 4:22 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Club Universitario de Vinto 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
3 Cochabamba 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Nueva Cliza 6 0 1 5 4:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fatic 6 6 0 0 26:3 18
2 Maestranza 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
3 Academia del Balompie 6 2 1 3 10:17 7
4 Municipal Achocalla 6 0 0 6 6:27 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 5 0 1 13:6 15
3 Sur-Car 6 2 0 4 9:9 6
4 Caracollo 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vaca Diez 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Mariscal Sucre 4 1 3 0 7:6 6
3 Moto Club 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 6 0 0 17:4 18
2 Rosario Central 6 3 0 3 10:12 9
3 Ferrocarril Palmeiras 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 America de Villazon 6 0 1 5 5:15 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 2 4 0 10:6 10
3 Argentinos Juniors 6 1 3 2 8:7 6
4 Academia Santa Cruz 6 1 0 5 5:16 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garcia Agreda 6 3 2 1 14:9 11
2 Atletico Bermejo 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
3 Quebracho Villa Montes 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Nacional Senac 6 1 1 4 10:14 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2021 (Second stage)