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Rosario Central vs Racing Club Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Wed, May 13, 2026
2 - 1
09:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Zaracho M.
Assist: Martinez A.
51'
Veliz A.
56'
Cambeses F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Rosario Central
15%
Draws
32%
Racing Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosario Central lately — more wins on the board than Racing Club.
  • Win probability leans Rosario Central's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Rosario Central have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Racing Club, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central Racing Club
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Racing Club
0:0
May 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Racing Club
2:1
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Profesional
Racing Club vs Rosario Central
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Racing Club
0:2
Dec 4, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Racing Club vs Rosario Central
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Copetti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Racing Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaracho M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 68 / 100
Racing Club 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central Racing Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Central found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Racing Club has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rosario Central went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Racing Club
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Racing Club

(Away)
05 Oct
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1 : 2
Racing Club
27 Sept
Racing Club
2 : 3
Boca Juniors
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
14 Sept
Huracan
2 : 1
Racing Club
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rosario Central 3
Independiente 1
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Racing Club 1
River Plate 3
San Lorenzo 2
Velez Sarsfield 0
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Talleres Cordoba 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Argentinos Jrs 2
Lanus 0
Boca Juniors 2
Huracan 3
Quarter-finals
Rosario Central 2
Racing Club 1
River Plate 2
Gimnasia L.P. 0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Union de Santa Fe 0
Argentinos Jrs 1
Huracan 0
Semi-finals
Rosario Central 0
River Plate 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Final
River Plate 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3