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Rosario Youth vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosario Youth play Ballymoney in the Irish Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rosario Youth averaged 2.45 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Ballymoney averaged 1.37 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Rosario Youth won 0, Ballymoney won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2018 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.81 for Rosario Youth and 1.50 for Ballymoney. This points to a Rosario Youth double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rosario Youth
15%
Draws
38%
Ballymoney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosario Youth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosario Youth picked up more points recently compared to Ballymoney.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.81 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Rosario Youth Clean Sheet 16%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Youth Ballymoney
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.45 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 Irish Cup
Rosario Youth vs Ballymoney
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Youth 46 / 100
Ballymoney 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Youth Ballymoney

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rosario Youth or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rosario Youth attacking → ← attacking Ballymoney

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Youth scored in 89% of their last 19 games.

Ballymoney let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rosario Youth went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ballymoney lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 28
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75