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Rosario Youth vs Rathfriland Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Rathfriland Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rosario Youth
44%
Draws
20%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rathfriland Rangers come out ahead of Rosario Youth on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Rathfriland Rangers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rathfriland Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rosario Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Youth Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.33 2
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.67 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Irish Cup
Rosario Youth vs Rathfriland Rangers
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Youth 34 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Youth Rathfriland Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rosario Youth scored in 89% of their last 19 outings.

Rathfriland Rangers let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Rathfriland Rangers's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Youth VS Rathfriland Rangers
1.33 Goals Scored 2
3.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Youth

(Home)
26 Jul
Loughgall
6 : 2
Rosario Youth
23 Nov
Rosario Youth
2 : 4
Rathfriland Rangers
17 Aug
Rosario Youth
0 : 1
Killyleagh Youth
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
30 Sept
Rosario Youth
4 : 0
Brantwood
Page 1 of 4

Rathfriland Rangers

(Away)
22 Nov
Strabane Athletic
2 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
16 Aug
Dergview
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
26 Jul
Rathfriland Rangers
4 : 0
Bangor FC
19 Jul
Dungannon
1 : 2
Rathfriland Rangers
04 Jan
Dungannon
5 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda3
Banbridge0
TBD-
Crusaders-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Banbridge Rangers2
Queens University1
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Portstewart0
Belfast Celtic1
Moyola1
St. James' Swifts0
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Lurgan Town Boys0
Dollingstown1
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Linfield-
TBD-
Wellington Rec-
Dergview-
Islandmagee0
Ballymacash4
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Dungannon-
TBD-
Rosario Youth2
Rathfriland Rangers4
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Armagh-
1/16-finals
Knockbreda0
Crusaders3
Limavady1
Larne0
Cliftonville4
Banbridge Rangers0
Glenavon2
Dundela0
Belfast Celtic0
Moyola1
Ballymena1
Ards2
Dollingstown1
Ballyclare0
Institute2
Loughgall3
Bangor FC2
Newington FC1
Annagh3
Portadown2
Harland & Wolff2
Glentoran4
Linfield4
Wellington Rec0
Ballymacash1
Ballinamallard2
Carrick Rangers4
Newry City3
Dungannon5
Rathfriland Rangers0
Coleraine5
Armagh0
1/8-finals
Crusaders1
Limavady0
Cliftonville3
Glenavon2
Moyola1
Ards3
Dollingstown0
Loughgall3
Bangor FC3
Annagh0
Glentoran2
Linfield1
Ballinamallard0
Carrick Rangers3
Dungannon2
Coleraine1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders1
Cliftonville2
Ards2
Loughgall0
Bangor FC3
Glentoran1
Carrick Rangers1
Dungannon3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville3
Ards0
Bangor FC0
Dungannon2
Final
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2