Sport Picks
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
Norway
Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim 
Match Events
10'
10'
Pereira A.
Assist: Selnaes O.
13'
13'
Ceide E. K.
Assist: Selnaes O.
32'
32'
Pereira A.
AI Match Summary
Rosenborg in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosenborg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosenborg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rosenborg lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
- Rosenborg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 11%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rosenborg | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 27, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
4:0
May 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 2, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rosenborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ceide E. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Fredrikstad Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rosenborg 83 / 100
Fredrikstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rosenborg Fredrikstad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Rosenborg scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Rosenborg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rosenborg VS Fredrikstad
3.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rosenborg
(Home) 19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3 Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4 Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3 Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2 Rosenborg
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3 Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Ham-Kam
14 Aug
Rosenborg
2 : 1 Viking
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0 Fredrikstad
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5 Manchester United
Page 1 of 4
Fredrikstad
(Away) 20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2 Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7 Fredrikstad
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
