Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Mon, Jul 27, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fredrikstad have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Rosenborg have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Rosenborg slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.25) point toward Fredrikstad. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rosenborg
6%
Draws
4%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fredrikstad lately — more wins on the board than Rosenborg.
  • Rosenborg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 19%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Fredrikstad
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 2, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
1:1
May 1, 2024 NM Cup
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 85 / 100
Fredrikstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rosenborg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fredrikstad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Fredrikstad
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
12 Jul
Rosenborg
3 : 0
Kristiansund
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
29 May
Rosenborg
2 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
25 May
KFUM Oslo
2 : 0
Rosenborg
16 May
Rosenborg
2 : 3
Aalesund
Page 1 of 6

Fredrikstad

(Away)
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
20 Jun
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tromso1594226:1531
2Viking12100231:1230
3Bodo/Glimt1392231:1129
4Lillestrom1381421:1225
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Ham-Kam1253420:2218
8Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)