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Stadium Background

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg host Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien. This has Rosenborg written all over it on paper. Ham-Kam have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Rosenborg have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.36. Head-to-head, Rosenborg have won 3 to Ham-Kam's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2025, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Rosenborg. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rosenborg
15%
Draws
26%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosenborg lately — more wins on the board than Ham-Kam.
  • Win probability leans Rosenborg's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Ham-Kam
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
4:0
Jul 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
1:0
Aug 20, 2023 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 67 / 100
Ham-Kam 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rosenborg scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Rosenborg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Ham-Kam
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
14 Aug
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Viking
09 Aug
Lillestrom
0 : 2
Rosenborg
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2
Rosenborg
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5
Manchester United
Page 1 of 6

Ham-Kam

(Away)
16 Aug
Brann
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
09 Aug
Ham-Kam
1 : 1
Aalesund
31 Jul
Valerenga
0 : 3
Ham-Kam
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 40:17 40
3 Tromso 17 10 4 3 34:20 34
4 Molde 17 8 3 6 32:26 27
5 Lillestrom 17 8 2 7 23:21 26
6 Brann 17 8 1 8 36:27 25
7 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 25:22 24
8 Fredrikstad 17 7 2 8 18:27 23
9 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 4 7 20:23 22
10 Ham-Kam 17 6 4 7 24:30 22
11 Valerenga 17 6 3 8 28:34 21
12 KFUM Oslo 17 5 4 8 19:27 19
13 Sandefjord 17 5 3 9 15:23 18
14 Kristiansund 17 4 3 10 15:27 15
15 Aalesund 17 2 9 6 27:41 15
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)