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Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ceide E. K.
Assist: Selnaes O.
22'
Johnsgard M.
45'
Isufi B.

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rosenborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Rosenborg
15%
Draws
18%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosenborg lately — more wins on the board than Ham-Kam.
  • Win probability leans Rosenborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rosenborg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Ham-Kam
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
4:0
Jul 13, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiakha A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ceide E. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 85 / 100
Ham-Kam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Rosenborg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Rosenborg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Ham-Kam
3.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
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Ham-Kam

(Away)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Kjelsas
0 : 2
Ham-Kam
13 Sept
Ham-Kam
1 : 5
Molde
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)