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Roskilde vs Aarhus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

Betano Pokalen
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Betano Pokalen. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Roskilde at 1.75 goals for, 1.25 against; Aarhus at 1.7 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Aarhus slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2015, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.13 - 1.25) back Roskilde to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Roskilde
35%
Draws
27%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Roskilde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Roskilde taking it.
  • Roskilde have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarhus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aarhus here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 19%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roskilde Aarhus
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2015 1st Division
Roskilde vs Aarhus
0:2
Apr 2, 2015 1st Division
Aarhus vs Roskilde
1:0
Jul 27, 2014 1st Division
Aarhus vs Roskilde
2:2
Apr 13, 2011 1st Division
Aarhus vs Roskilde
2:0
Aug 20, 2010 1st Division
Roskilde vs Aarhus
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roskilde 40 / 100
Aarhus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roskilde Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Roskilde scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Aarhus conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Roskilde has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Roskilde VS Aarhus
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roskilde

(Home)
04 Oct
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Roskilde
25 Sept
Hellerup
1 : 1
Roskilde
18 Sept
Roskilde
5 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
13 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Roskilde
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
Page 1 of 6

Aarhus

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hedensted 0
Marienlyst 5
Tst Fodbold 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Fremad Amager 0
TBD -
Lyngby -
Aalborg KFUM 1
Fuglebakken 3
Hobro 0
Vendsyssel FF 4
Viby 0
ASA Aarhus 1
TBD -
Randers FC -
Sydkysten 3
Ishoj IF 1
Ringsted 0
BK Frem 1
Vaerlose 0
Saby 2
Handelsstandens Boldklub 0
Roskilde 5
Maribo BK 0
Skjold 6
Brondby Strand 1
Espergaerde 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bornholm 4
Nakskov 1
Rudersdal 1
Hellerup 5
Odder 2
Skive 3
Bogense 0
Esbjerg 6
Vatanspor 4
Norresundby 1
Holstebro 1
Aalborg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
KRFK 6
Skanderborg 0
Aarhus Black Vipers 0
Brabrand 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 3
Morud 2
Kolding BK 0
Naesby 3
Lyseng 3
Vejgaard 2
TBD -
Horsens -
Bronshoj 1
Koge 0
Holbaek 1
AB Copenhagen 2
Aabybro 1
Thisted FC 9
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Tarup-Paarup 0
Vejle 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Boldklubben FIX 1
Frederikssund 3
Slagelse 0
Sundby 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Kjellerup 0
Bronderslev 1
Glamsbjerg 0
Kolding IF 8
SfB-Oure 0
Fredericia 6
TBD -
Odense -
Birkerod 2
Allerod 4
Koge Nord 1
Vanlose 4
Gentofte-Vangede 0
Avarta 2
Vaeggerlose 0
Hillerod 12
Nykobing 2
Boldklubben 1893 0
Naestved IF 1
Hvidovre IF 0
Varde 1
OKS Odense 2
Bredballe 0
Middelfart 2
Vallensbaek 1
Helsingor 4
IF Foroyar 0
Horsholm-Usserod 2
Aabenraa 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 2
Ringkobing 0
Aarhus Fremad 4
Vigerslev 0
Skovshoved 1
Frederiksholm 1
Tarnby FF 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/32-finals
Marienlyst 1
VSK Aarhus 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Lyngby 1
Fuglebakken 1
Vendsyssel FF 2
ASA Aarhus 0
Randers FC 4
Sydkysten 1
BK Frem 2
Saby 0
Roskilde 5
Skjold 3
Espergaerde 0
TBD -
Aarhus -
Bornholm 1
Hellerup 4
Skive 1
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 2
Aalborg 1
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
KRFK 1
Brabrand 5
TBD -
Viborg -
Munkebo BK 0
Naesby 5
Lyseng 0
Horsens 4
Bronshoj 2
AB Copenhagen 4
Thisted FC 0
Sonderjyske 2
Vejle 3
Silkeborg 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Frederikssund 2
Sundby 3
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Bronderslev 1
Kolding IF 4
Fredericia 1
Odense 2
Allerod 1
Vanlose 4
Avarta 0
Hillerod 4
Nykobing 2
Naestved IF 1
OKS Odense 0
Middelfart 1
Helsingor 2
Horsholm-Usserod 5
Saedding/Guldager IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 1
Skovshoved 2
Tarnby FF 0
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
1/16-finals
VSK Aarhus 0
Lyngby 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Randers FC 3
BK Frem 1
Roskilde 2
Skjold 1
Aarhus 6
Hellerup 0
Esbjerg 5
Vatanspor 0
Nordsjaelland 3
Brabrand 2
Viborg 1
Naesby 2
Horsens 3
AB Copenhagen 3
Sonderjyske 1
Vejle 1
Brondby 2
Sundby 0
Midtjylland 7
Kolding IF 1
Odense 2
Vanlose 2
Hillerod 1
Nykobing 6
Middelfart 5
Horsholm-Usserod 1
Aarhus Fremad 2
Skovshoved 0
FC Copenhagen 3
1/8-finals
Lyngby -
Randers FC -
Roskilde -
Aarhus -
Esbjerg -
Nordsjaelland -
Brabrand -
Horsens -
AB Copenhagen -
Brondby -
Midtjylland -
Odense -
Vanlose -
Nykobing -
Aarhus Fremad -
FC Copenhagen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -