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Roslyn Wakari vs Wanaka FC

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Roslyn Wakari in this Chatham Cup 2023 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Roslyn Wakari
30%
Draws
34%
Wanaka FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roslyn Wakari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Roslyn Wakari have won more games recently than Wanaka FC.
  • Roslyn Wakari are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Roslyn Wakari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Roslyn Wakari, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Roslyn Wakari Clean Sheet 10%
Wanaka FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roslyn Wakari Wanaka FC
Matches Played 4 2
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.25 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 Chatham Cup
Roslyn Wakari vs Wanaka FC
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roslyn Wakari 34 / 100
Wanaka FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roslyn Wakari Wanaka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wanaka FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Roslyn Wakari scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Roslyn Wakari went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roslyn Wakari VS Wanaka FC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roslyn Wakari

(Home)
29 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 5
Waterside Karori
08 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
4 : 3
Wanaka FC
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Roslyn Wakari

Wanaka FC

(Away)
05 Jul
Wanaka FC
0 : 3
Christchurch
08 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
4 : 3
Wanaka FC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC0
Melville2
Western Springs3
Auckland City2
Roslyn Wakari4
Wanaka FC3
Napier City0
Waterside Karori3
Hamilton3
Ngaruawahia AFC2
Cashmere Technical0
Christchurch3
Petone0
Wellington Olympic5
Birkenhead1
Eastern Suburbs2
Quarter-finals
Melville1
Western Springs0
Roslyn Wakari2
Waterside Karori5
Hamilton0
Christchurch3
Wellington Olympic2
Eastern Suburbs3
Semi-finals
Melville3
Waterside Karori1
Christchurch2
Eastern Suburbs1
Final
Melville2
Christchurch3