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Rostov 2 vs Alania 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
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Match Events

76' Event
Alimov M.

AI Match Summary

Rostov 2 in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rostov 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rostov 2
15%
Draws
0%
Alania 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rostov 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rostov 2 lately — more wins on the board than Alania 2.
  • Win probability leans Rostov 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rostov 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rostov 2 Alania 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs Alania 2
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Rostov 2
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rostov 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alimov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Alania 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rostov 2 85 / 100
Alania 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rostov 2 Alania 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rostov 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alania 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Alania 2 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rostov 2's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rostov 2 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rostov 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
19 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 0
Shahter Taganrog
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
0 : 2
Rostov 2
29 Aug
Rostov 2
4 : 0
FK Pobeda
Page 1 of 7

Alania 2

(Away)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)