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Stadium Background

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Chemnitzer

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen play Chemnitzer in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Chemnitzer averaged 1.96 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen won 2, Chemnitzer won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 1.00 for Chemnitzer. This points to a Chemnitzer double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
40%
Draws
30%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Rot-Weiss Oberhausen picked up more points recently compared to Chemnitzer.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 23%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Chemnitzer
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Chemnitzer
5:1
Feb 18, 2012 3. Liga
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Chemnitzer
2:2
Aug 27, 2011 3. Liga
Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1:0
May 20, 2006 Regionalliga North
Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0:2
Nov 18, 2005 Regionalliga North
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Chemnitzer
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Sieben P. T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ngyombo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Marx J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 32 / 100
Chemnitzer 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Chemnitzer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chemnitzer or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen attacking → ← attacking Chemnitzer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Chemnitzer let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chemnitzer lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 44
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38