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Rotenburger vs St. Pauli II

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rinal S.
31' Event
Duhring M. N.
73' Event
Ulbricht J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Rotenburger and St. Pauli II finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Pauli II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rotenburger
20%
Draws
51%
St. Pauli II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Pauli II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rotenburger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Pauli II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rotenburger Clean Sheet 19%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotenburger St. Pauli II
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Rotenburger vs St. Pauli II
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotenburger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

St. Pauli II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rinal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duhring M. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotenburger 10 / 100
St. Pauli II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotenburger St. Pauli II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Pauli II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Pauli II conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

Rotenburger scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rotenburger stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS St. Pauli II
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotenburger

(Home)
18 Jan
Werder Bremen II
6 : 1
Rotenburger
19 Jan
Rotenburger
0 : 7
Werder Bremen II
20 May
Rotenburger
1 : 1
Vorsfelde
17 May
Rotenburger
3 : 0
Hildesheim
15 May
Eintracht Celle
4 : 2
Rotenburger
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St. Pauli II

(Away)
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
30 Aug
St. Pauli II
2 : 2
Phonix Lubeck
26 Aug
Schoningen
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
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