Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotenburger vs VfL Oldenburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Brinkmann M.
72' Event
Klee K.
Own Goal
81' Event
Bockau K.

AI Match Summary

VfL Oldenburg in this Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfL Oldenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rotenburger
20%
Draws
40%
VfL Oldenburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • VfL Oldenburg have won more games recently than Rotenburger.
  • VfL Oldenburg are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors VfL Oldenburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Rotenburger Clean Sheet 10%
VfL Oldenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotenburger VfL Oldenburg
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Rotenburger vs VfL Oldenburg
0:4
Oct 29, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Rotenburger
2:0
Feb 5, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Rotenburger vs VfL Oldenburg
3:0
Nov 27, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
VfL Oldenburg vs Rotenburger
3:0
Nov 27, 2021 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Rotenburger vs VfL Oldenburg
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotenburger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

VfL Oldenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Brinkmann M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bockau K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotenburger 14 / 100
VfL Oldenburg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotenburger VfL Oldenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfL Oldenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Rotenburger found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

VfL Oldenburg has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

VfL Oldenburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotenburger VS VfL Oldenburg
1 Goals Scored 0.38
6 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotenburger

(Home)
18 Jan
Werder Bremen II
6 : 1
Rotenburger
19 Jan
Rotenburger
0 : 7
Werder Bremen II
20 May
Rotenburger
1 : 1
Vorsfelde
17 May
Rotenburger
3 : 0
Hildesheim
15 May
Eintracht Celle
4 : 2
Rotenburger
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VfL Oldenburg

(Away)
31 Jan
Aabenraa
0 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
27 Jun
Jeddeloh
4 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
18 May
VfL Oldenburg
0 : 1
Heeslinger SC
11 May
Egestorf-Langreder
1 : 0
VfL Oldenburg
04 May
VfL Oldenburg
3 : 0
Vorsfelde
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Emden 34 28 2 4 97:31 86
2 TuS Bersenbruck 34 21 6 7 83:49 69
3 Delmenhorst 34 20 3 11 64:44 63
4 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 17 8 9 61:45 59
5 Hildesheim 34 17 8 9 63:50 59
6 Egestorf-Langreder 34 16 7 11 56:45 55
7 BSV Rehden 34 16 6 12 55:43 54
8 Vorsfelde 34 15 9 10 54:49 54
9 Meppen II 34 14 7 13 50:53 49
10 VfL Oldenburg 34 14 6 14 59:59 48
11 Heeslinger SC 34 12 11 11 55:56 47
12 Eintracht Celle 34 11 7 16 61:72 40
13 Schoningen 34 10 8 16 53:69 38
14 Arminia Hannover 34 8 7 19 41:63 31
15 Rotenburger 34 8 7 19 39:66 31
16 Ramlingen-Ehlershausen 34 6 11 17 46:75 29
17 Eilvese 34 6 4 24 47:71 22
18 Blau-Weiss Bornreihe 34 4 9 21 36:80 21
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2023/2024 (Promotion)