Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotherham vs Chesterfield

England England

League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rotherham host Chesterfield in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Rotherham at 0.93 goals for, 1.52 against; Chesterfield at 1.14 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Rotherham slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 14, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.88) back Chesterfield to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rotherham
30%
Draws
23%
Chesterfield
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chesterfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rotherham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 20%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Chesterfield
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.52 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2025 EFL Trophy
Chesterfield vs Rotherham
0:1
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Rotherham
1:2
Oct 3, 2017 EFL Trophy
Rotherham vs Chesterfield
1:2
Jul 25, 2017 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Rotherham
1:3
Feb 16, 2013 League Two
Rotherham vs Chesterfield
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 31 / 100
Chesterfield 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Chesterfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotherham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chesterfield let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Chesterfield has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Rotherham scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Chesterfield
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Rotherham
08 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 4
West Brom
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
Derby
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2
Rotherham
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6

Chesterfield

(Away)
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1
Fleetwood Town
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0
Chesterfield
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1
Chesterfield
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2
Chesterfield
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0
Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walsall 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Newport 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Barnet 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Oldham 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 York City 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Crewe 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Grimsby 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Colchester 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 Accrington 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 Northampton 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
14 Swindon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
16 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Exeter 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Salford 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
21 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
22 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
23 Rochdale 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
24 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)