Sport Picks
Rotherham vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham 
Match Events
12'
12'
Tavares F.
Assist: Otoo E.
17'
17'
Cover B.
18'
18'
Bonis L.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Rotherham and Chesterfield finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotherham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chesterfield carry the better recent record into this one.
- Chesterfield are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Rotherham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 13%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rotherham | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Rotherham vs Chesterfield
2:1
Jan 14, 2025 EFL Trophy
Chesterfield vs Rotherham
0:1
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Rotherham
1:2
Oct 3, 2017 EFL Trophy
Rotherham vs Chesterfield
1:2
Jul 25, 2017 Club Friendly
Chesterfield vs Rotherham
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rotherham Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavares F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mullin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Chesterfield Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rotherham 11 / 100
Chesterfield 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rotherham Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chesterfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rotherham scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Chesterfield conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Rotherham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rotherham VS Chesterfield
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rotherham
(Home) 06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4 Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0 Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4 Bradford City
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1 Crewe
12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3 Salford
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 York City
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1 Chesterfield
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
