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Rothes vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rothes host Keith in the Highland League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Rothes have averaged 0.86 scored and 4.17 conceded recently, against Keith's 1.86 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Keith slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:5. xG projections (1.31 - 3.25) back Keith to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Rothes
15%
Draws
85%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keith lately — more wins on the board than Rothes.
  • Model gives Keith a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Keith here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rothes Clean Sheet 10%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rothes Keith
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.86
Goals Conceded 4.17 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Highland League
Rothes vs Keith
1:5
Nov 15, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Rothes
2:1
Apr 2, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Rothes
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Highland League
Rothes vs Keith
0:1
Feb 24, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Rothes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rothes 10 / 100
Keith 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rothes Keith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keith let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rothes's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Keith registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rothes VS Keith
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
5.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rothes

(Home)
24 Oct
Rothes
0 : 3
Deveronvale
17 Oct
Rothes
1 : 3
Inverurie Loco Works
10 Oct
Invergordon
2 : 0
Rothes
07 Oct
Rothes
1 : 3
Huntly
03 Oct
Rothes
0 : 9
Brora Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Keith

(Away)
24 Oct
Dumbarton
1 : 0
Keith
17 Oct
Keith
6 : 4
Invergordon
10 Oct
Huntly
2 : 0
Keith
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1
Stonehaven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 15 12 3 0 56:14 39
2 Inverurie Loco Works 16 9 5 2 31:21 32
3 Formartine Utd 15 8 4 3 28:19 28
4 Fraserburgh 15 7 6 2 32:16 27
5 Banks O' Dee 15 7 4 4 39:27 25
6 Clachnacuddin 14 6 5 3 31:15 23
7 Huntly 15 6 4 5 30:23 22
8 Strathspey Thistle 16 6 4 6 30:23 22
9 Forres Mechanics 15 6 3 6 25:24 21
10 Deveronvale 16 6 3 7 25:25 21
11 Nairn County 16 5 6 5 24:26 21
12 Turriff United 16 6 2 8 22:23 20
13 Buckie Thistle 14 6 1 7 34:26 19
14 Keith 15 5 3 7 25:35 18
15 Lossiemouth 15 5 3 7 22:36 18
16 Invergordon 15 4 1 10 21:42 13
17 Wick Academy 16 3 1 12 17:44 10
18 Rothes 15 1 0 14 10:63 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)