Sport Picks
Rotlet Molinar vs Pena Deportiva Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Montori A.
60'
60'
Mendez L.
90'
90'
Segui A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Rotlet Molinar and Pena Deportiva finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Deportiva.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotlet Molinar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pena Deportiva come out ahead of Rotlet Molinar on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Rotlet Molinar's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pena Deportiva have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rotlet Molinar | Pena Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Pena Deportiva
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Rotlet Molinar
2:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Pena Deportiva
3:2
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Rotlet Molinar
4:1
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Rotlet Molinar
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rotlet Molinar Compare
Top Goalscorer Segui A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pena Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Montori A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mendez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rotlet Molinar 34 / 100
Pena Deportiva 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rotlet Molinar Pena Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Rotlet Molinar found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Pena Deportiva conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Pena Deportiva lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rotlet Molinar VS Pena Deportiva
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rotlet Molinar
(Home) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2 Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2 CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2 CD Son Cladera
28 Mar
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 2 Mallorca B
14 Mar
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 5 Formentera
Page 1 of 3
Pena Deportiva
(Away) 27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2 Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0 Pena Deportiva
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
