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Rotonda vs Paganese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Iannone C.
13' Event
Orefice A.
24' Event
Mancino A.

AI Match Summary

Paganese in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paganese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rotonda
20%
Draws
57%
Paganese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paganese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paganese lately — more wins on the board than Rotonda.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Paganese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 22%
Paganese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotonda Paganese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Paganese
2:3
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Paganese vs Rotonda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Paganese Compare

Top Goalscorer Iannone C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orefice A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotonda 24 / 100
Paganese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotonda Paganese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paganese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rotonda scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Paganese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Rotonda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paganese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotonda

(Home)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
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Paganese

(Away)
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Latte Dolce
2 : 3
Paganese
06 Sept
Paganese
2 : 1
Unipomezia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)