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Roubaix W vs Montpellier W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women
Wed, Dec 9, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de la Ligue Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Montpellier W have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while Roubaix W have conceded 2.62 and scored 1.38. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Montpellier W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Roubaix W
35%
Draws
15%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roubaix W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Roubaix W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Montpellier W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Roubaix W Clean Sheet 18%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roubaix W Montpellier W
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roubaix W 85 / 100
Montpellier W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roubaix W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roubaix W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Roubaix W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Roubaix W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Montpellier W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Roubaix W VS Montpellier W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Roubaix W

(Home)
21 Oct
Saint-Malo W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
18 Oct
Roubaix W
0 : 1
Lille W
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
20 Sept
Roubaix W
5 : 1
Cannes W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
Page 1 of 3

Montpellier W

(Away)
20 Oct
Montpellier W
2 : 3
Le Havre W
17 Oct
Montpellier W
1 : 1
Le Havre W
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Strasbourg W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
3 Auxerre W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
4 Lens W 4 2 0 2 6:5 7
5 Thonon Evian W 4 3 0 1 7:11 7
6 Fleury 91 W 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
7 Le Mans W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
8 St Etienne W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
9 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
10 Roubaix W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
11 Saint-Malo W 3 2 0 1 4:2 5
12 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
13 Montpellier W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
14 Cannes W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
15 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
16 Lille W 4 0 0 4 5:8 2
17 Nice W 3 1 0 2 4:9 2
18 Bourges 18 W 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
19 Toulouse W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)