Sport Picks

France

National 2 - Group C

Toulon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rousset Ste Victoire play Toulon in the National 2 - Group C. Toulon are favorites here. Recently, Rousset Ste Victoire averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Toulon averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Rousset Ste Victoire won 0, Toulon won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Rousset Ste Victoire and 2.13 for Toulon. This points to a Toulon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Rousset Ste Victoire

27%

Draws

57%

Toulon

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Toulon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Rousset Ste Victoire picked up more points recently compared to Toulon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Rousset Ste Victoire Clean Sheet 10%

Toulon Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rousset Ste Victoire	Toulon
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	2	8
Draws	6	10
Losses	22	12
Goals Scored	0.93	1.27
Goals Conceded	2.53	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National 2 - Group C

Rousset Ste Victoire vs Toulon

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Sep 20, 2025 National 2 - Group C

Toulon vs Rousset Ste Victoire

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rousset Ste Victoire Compare

Top Goalscorer Berkane A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Serrano J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Toulon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bennekrouf K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rousset Ste Victoire 16 / 100

Toulon 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rousset Ste Victoire Toulon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulon Win (2)

Secondary Pick Toulon & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rousset Ste Victoire attacking → ← attacking Toulon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rousset Ste Victoire scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Toulon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Rousset Ste Victoire went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Toulon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 34

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cannes	30	17	9	4	53:30	60
2	Nimes	30	18	5	7	46:25	59
3	St. Maur Lusitanos	30	15	10	5	40:24	55
4	Rumilly Vallieres	30	13	8	9	49:36	47
5	Hyeres	30	11	12	7	36:27	45
6	Andrezieux	30	12	9	9	48:33	45
7	Istres	30	11	10	9	42:32	43
8	Creteil	30	12	7	11	36:34	43
9	GOAL FC	30	11	8	11	38:46	40
10	RC Grasse	30	9	9	12	41:42	36
11	Frejus Saint Raphael	30	9	8	13	37:50	35
12	Limonest	30	9	7	14	36:49	34
13	FC Bobigny 93	30	7	11	12	29:31	32
14	Toulon	30	8	10	12	38:47	31
15	Saint Priest	30	7	9	14	35:50	30
16	Rousset Ste Victoire	30	2	6	22	28:76	12