Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rovato Vertovese vs Este

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cogo G.
61' Event
Barzon L.
65' Event
Peron F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Este advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rovato Vertovese
35%
Draws
37%
Este
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Este come out ahead of Rovato Vertovese on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Este arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Este, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 18%
Este Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Este
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Rovato Vertovese vs Este
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Messedaglia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Cogo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barzon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 32 / 100
Este 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rovato Vertovese scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Este has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Rovato Vertovese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Este
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rovato Vertovese

(Home)
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4
Chievo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

Este

(Away)
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0