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Royal Pari vs Jorge Wilstermann

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Vargas L. In: Machado C.
Out: Vargas L.
46'
Sub
Gil S. In: Velasco L.
Out: Gil S.
46'
Sub
Pena S. In: Jaquez J. M.
Out: Pena S.

AI Match Summary

Jorge Wilstermann in this Division Profesional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jorge Wilstermann.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Royal Pari
20%
Draws
29%
Jorge Wilstermann
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Royal Pari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Royal Pari haven't matched Jorge Wilstermann's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Royal Pari a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Royal Pari Clean Sheet 68%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royal Pari Jorge Wilstermann
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Jorge Wilstermann
0:1
Jul 28, 2024 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs Royal Pari
2:0
Dec 15, 2023 Copa Pacena
Royal Pari vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:1
Dec 13, 2023 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs Royal Pari
2:0
Nov 26, 2023 Division Profesional
Royal Pari vs Jorge Wilstermann
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royal Pari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Top Goalscorer Nahuelpan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Pari 95 / 100
Jorge Wilstermann 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royal Pari Jorge Wilstermann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royal Pari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jorge Wilstermann conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Royal Pari has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jorge Wilstermann lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jorge Wilstermann
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Royal Pari

(Home)
23 Feb
Royal Pari
0 : 1
Blooming
19 Feb
Blooming
2 : 2
Royal Pari
23 Dec
Real Oruro
3 : 0
Royal Pari
21 Dec
Royal Pari
4 : 0
Real Oruro
19 Dec
Royal Pari
3 : 1
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

Jorge Wilstermann

(Away)
14 Dec
The Strongest
6 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
09 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
2 : 2
GV San Jose
07 Dec
Guabira
6 : 3
Jorge Wilstermann
04 Dec
Jorge Wilstermann
3 : 1
Real Oruro
30 Nov
Aurora
1 : 0
Jorge Wilstermann
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 30 20 7 3 76:25 67
2 The Strongest 30 18 6 6 62:34 60
3 GV San Jose 30 14 6 10 62:40 48
4 Aurora 30 12 12 6 49:40 48
5 Always Ready 30 13 7 10 48:37 46
6 Nacional Potosi 30 13 7 10 52:47 46
7 Blooming 30 13 6 11 36:43 45
8 Jorge Wilstermann 30 11 11 8 35:30 44
9 Tomayapo 30 13 4 13 41:41 43
10 Independiente 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
11 Oriente Petrolero 30 10 5 15 44:58 35
12 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 9 7 14 36:47 34
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 8 7 15 40:58 31
14 Guabira 30 8 6 16 36:53 30
15 Royal Pari 30 7 8 15 30:46 29
16 Santa Cruz 30 6 4 20 30:68 22
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)