Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Royale Union SG vs Anderlecht

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels
Thu, May 14, 2026
3 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Burgess C.
45'
De Cat N.
65'
Sub
Biondic M. In: Rodriguez K.
Out: Biondic M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Royale Union SG
30%
Draws
43%
Anderlecht
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Anderlecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Anderlecht haven't matched Royale Union SG's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Royale Union SG taking it.
  • Royale Union SG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Royale Union SG, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Royale Union SG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 10%
Anderlecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royale Union SG Anderlecht
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 21 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.18 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Anderlecht
5:1
May 14, 2026 Belgian Cup
Royale Union SG vs Anderlecht
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Royale Union SG
1:3
Nov 30, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht vs Royale Union SG
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Anderlecht
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer Mac Allister K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuseini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Anderlecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royale Union SG 40 / 100
Anderlecht 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royale Union SG Anderlecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Royale Union SG's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Anderlecht conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Royale Union SG went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Royale Union SG VS Anderlecht
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Royale Union SG

(Home)
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
11 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Royale Union SG
08 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 5
Royale Union SG
04 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
31 Jul
Club Brugge
1 : 2
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 7

Anderlecht

(Away)
13 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 2
PAOK
09 Aug
Anderlecht
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
Anderlecht
3 : 1
Hammarby
23 Jul
Hammarby
1 : 1
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1