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Royale Union SG vs St. Truiden

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Stade Joseph Marien
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Royale Union SG play St. Truiden in the Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Royale Union SG averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. St. Truiden averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Royale Union SG won 4, St. Truiden won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Royale Union SG and 1.56 for St. Truiden. This points to a Royale Union SG double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Royale Union SG
15%
Draws
35%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Royale Union SG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Royale Union SG picked up more points recently compared to St. Truiden.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 15%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royale Union SG St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 7 2
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royale Union SG
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs St. Truiden
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royale Union SG
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs St. Truiden
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs St. Truiden
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royale Union SG Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Smith
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Truiden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royale Union SG 48 / 100
St. Truiden 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royale Union SG St. Truiden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Royale Union SG or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Royale Union SG attacking → ← attacking St. Truiden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Royale Union SG scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

St. Truiden let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Royale Union SG went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Truiden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 53
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Brugge1081132:957
2Royale Union SG1062216:1053
3St. Truiden1042414:1143
4Anderlecht1032516:2333
5Gent100644:1429
6KV Mechelen101369:2429