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Rozova Dolina vs Evrokolezh

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Rozova Dolina and Evrokolezh finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rozova Dolina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Rozova Dolina
35%
Draws
35%
Evrokolezh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Evrokolezh's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Rozova Dolina have produced (1.35).
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 15%
Evrokolezh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rozova Dolina Evrokolezh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2018 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Rozova Dolina
2:0
Sep 16, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Evrokolezh
7:1
Mar 18, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Evrokolezh
4:0
Oct 12, 2016 Third League - South-East
Evrokolezh vs Rozova Dolina
2:1
May 7, 2016 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Evrokolezh
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rozova Dolina 30 / 100
Evrokolezh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rozova Dolina Evrokolezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rozova Dolina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Evrokolezh conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Rozova Dolina scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Rozova Dolina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rozova Dolina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rozova Dolina

(Home)
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
15 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 1
Rozova Dolina
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Evrokolezh

(Away)
02 Jun
Svilengrad 1921
4 : 1
Evrokolezh
26 May
Evrokolezh
2 : 2
Asenovets
19 May
Borislav Parvomay
4 : 2
Evrokolezh
12 May
Evrokolezh
2 : 1
Yambol 1915
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 4
Evrokolezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)