Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2023/2024 game between Rozova Dolina and Sliven finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rozova Dolina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rozova Dolina carry the better recent record into this one.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Rozova Dolina taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 16%
Sliven Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rozova Dolina | Sliven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Sliven
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Sliven vs Rozova Dolina
6:1
Oct 21, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Rozova Dolina
0:3
Mar 18, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Rozova Dolina
0:0
Sep 3, 2022 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Sliven
7:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rozova Dolina 84 / 100
Sliven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rozova Dolina Sliven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rozova Dolina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Rozova Dolina scored in 76% of their last 34 games.
Sliven let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Rozova Dolina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rozova Dolina VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rozova Dolina
(Home) 19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
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12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
08 Aug
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Yambol 1915
16 May
Rozova Dolina
2 : 1 Zagorets
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Sliven
(Away) 27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0 Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3 Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2 Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0 Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2 Levski Karlovo
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27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0 Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3 Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2 Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0 Sliven
15 May
Lok. Plovdiv II
4 : 2 Sliven
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 121:39 | 95 |
| 2 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 97:26 | 93 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 122:22 | 93 |
| 4 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 81:43 | 71 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 79:42 | 69 |
| 6 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:40 | 67 |
| 7 | Botev II | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 84:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 60:71 | 58 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 64:63 | 51 |
| 11 | Asenovets | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 59:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 65:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 59:75 | 40 |
| 15 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 56:91 | 38 |
| 16 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 49:82 | 37 |
| 17 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 46:106 | 34 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 42:127 | 30 |
| 19 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 36:98 | 27 |
| 20 | Beroe II | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 26:108 | 20 |
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