Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Blanco A.
53'
53'
Acosta T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- RSD Alcala have won more games recently than Canillas.
- Win probability leans RSD Alcala's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Canillas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RSD Alcala | Canillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs RSD Alcala
2:5
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Canillas
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs RSD Alcala
2:2
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Canillas
1:2
Apr 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs RSD Alcala
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RSD Alcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Blanco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Canillas Compare
Top Goalscorer Acosta T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RSD Alcala 95 / 100
Canillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RSD Alcala Canillas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RSD Alcala's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Canillas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Canillas lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
RSD Alcala VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
RSD Alcala
(Home) 20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
19 Aug
RSD Alcala
1 : 1 Gimnastica Segoviana
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
19 Aug
RSD Alcala
1 : 1 Gimnastica Segoviana
14 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 5
Canillas
(Away) 11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5 RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2 Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3 Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0 Canillas
Page 1 of 6
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0 Canillas
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2 Canillas
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0 Canillas
29 Mar
El Alamo
3 : 1 Canillas
16 Mar
Galapagar
1 : 0 Canillas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
