Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

RSD Alcala

2 - 0

Ilicitano

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Kone L.

57'

Sanchez B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RSD Alcala in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RSD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

RSD Alcala

Draws

Ilicitano

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ilicitano haven't matched RSD Alcala's recent run of results.
Win probability leans RSD Alcala's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 18%

Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	RSD Alcala	Ilicitano
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	7	9
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

RSD Alcala vs Ilicitano

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Ilicitano vs RSD Alcala

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Ilicitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 85 / 100

Ilicitano 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

RSD Alcala Ilicitano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilicitano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

RSD Alcala's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

RSD Alcala has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS Ilicitano

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	34	20	10	4	52:23	70
2	San Sebastian Reyes	34	21	7	6	51:27	70
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42:30	60
4	Getafe B	34	16	9	9	55:35	57
5	CD Coria	34	16	9	9	50:38	57
6	RSD Alcala	34	14	9	11	42:39	51
7	Tenerife B	34	15	5	14	57:53	50
8	Orihuela	34	12	10	12	45:43	46
9	CF Intercity	34	11	10	13	42:45	43
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40:42	43
11	Las Palmas B	34	11	9	14	42:45	42
12	Ilicitano	34	10	11	13	51:56	41
13	Real Madrid C	34	11	7	16	42:45	40
14	Quintanar del Rey	34	11	6	17	36:43	39
15	CF Fuenlabrada	34	9	10	15	35:44	37
16	Colonia Moscardo	34	9	7	18	37:57	34
17	Socuellamos	34	7	10	17	34:55	31
18	Rayo Vallecano B	34	9	3	22	30:63	30