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RSD Alcala vs Rayo Majadahonda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Viana E.
43' Event
Alburquerque A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between RSD Alcala and Rayo Majadahonda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RSD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RSD Alcala
15%
Draws
34%
Rayo Majadahonda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • RSD Alcala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Majadahonda
2:0
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Majadahonda vs RSD Alcala
2:1
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Majadahonda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 36 / 100
Rayo Majadahonda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala Rayo Majadahonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Majadahonda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RSD Alcala scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Rayo Majadahonda has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Rayo Majadahonda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS Rayo Majadahonda
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
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Rayo Majadahonda

(Away)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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