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RSD Alcala vs Tenerife Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Sabina F.
Assist: Fernandez D.
45'
Juanjo Sanchez
53'
Recio S.

AI Match Summary

Tenerife in this Copa del Rey 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RSD Alcala
20%
Draws
29%
Tenerife
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Tenerife.
  • Model gives RSD Alcala a 51% chance of winning this.
  • RSD Alcala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tenerife, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala Tenerife
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Copa del Rey
RSD Alcala vs Tenerife
0:4
May 12, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Tenerife vs RSD Alcala
0:1
Dec 21, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
RSD Alcala vs Tenerife
0:0
May 13, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Tenerife vs RSD Alcala
1:2
Jan 8, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
RSD Alcala vs Tenerife
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSD Alcala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tenerife Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabina F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mesa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 95 / 100
Tenerife 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala Tenerife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: RSD Alcala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tenerife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS Tenerife
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife

(Away)
26 Sept
Tenerife
1 : 1
Cadiz
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
13 Sept
Tenerife
2 : 0
Leganes
05 Sept
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Tenerife
28 Aug
Tenerife
0 : 1
Gijon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Mutilvera -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
Atletico Tordesillas -
TBD -
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Navalcarnero -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Merida -
Inter de Valdemoro 4
Univ. Julio Suarez 2
TBD -
Getafe -
Atletico Astorga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirandes -
Caudal Deportivo -
TBD -
TBD -
Gijon -
Puente Genil -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Sporting Ceuta 1
Maracena 3
TBD -
Valencia -
CD Tropezon -
TBD -
TBD -
Leonesa -
Valle Egues -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Andorra -
Ciudad Cieza -
TBD -
TBD -
Cordoba -
Orihuela -
TBD -
TBD -
Levante -
Ourense CF -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Oviedo -
Constancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Girona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Portugalete -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Deportivo Getxo 2
Betis Valladolid 1
TBD -
Alaves -
CD Extremadura -
TBD -
TBD -
Las Palmas -
Toledo -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevilla -
RSD Alcala -
TBD -
TBD -
Tenerife -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Granada CF -
Real Avila -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Aviles -
Campanario 0
CD Yuncos 2
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Jaen -
TBD -
TBD -
Eldense -
Lorca Deportiva -
TBD -
TBD -
Almeria -
Reus FC Reddis -
TBD -
TBD -
CE Europa -
Textil Escudo 2
SD Negreira 5
TBD -
Real Sociedad -
Langreo -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club Ferrol -
Utebo FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Huesca -
Ebro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarazona -
CD Sant Jordi 4
CD Lourdes 1
TBD -
Osasuna -
CD Azuaga -
TBD -
TBD -
Leganes -
UD San Fernando -
TBD -
TBD -
Albacete -
Sant Andreu -
TBD -
TBD -
Teruel -
Puerto de Vega 5
CCD Alberite 1
TBD -
Celta Vigo -
Rayo Majadahonda -
TBD -
TBD -
CF Talavera -
CD Estepona -
TBD -
TBD -
Malaga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
UD Logrones -
TBD -
TBD -
Ponferradina -
SD Logrones -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Santander -
Antoniano -
TBD -
TBD -
Castellon -
Ciudad de Lucena -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
Guadalajara -
TBD -
TBD -
Cacereno -
La Union (Malacitano) -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Ceuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
Murcia -
TBD -
TBD -
Antequera -
UCAM Murcia -
TBD -
TBD -
Cadiz -
Torrent -
TBD -
TBD -
Torremolinos -
Atletico Melilla 0
Atletico Palma del Rio 10
TBD -
Betis -
UD Ourense -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontevedra -
Naxara -
TBD -
TBD -
Eibar -
Quintanar del Rey -
TBD -
TBD -
UD Ibiza -
Manises 2
UD Los Garres 4
TBD -
Elche -
UD Poblense -
TBD -
TBD -
Sabadell -
UD Samano -
TBD -
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Numancia -
TBD -
TBD -
Arenas Getxo -
Atletic Sant Just FC 7
Atletico Calatayud 1
TBD -
Mallorca -
Baleares -
TBD -
TBD -
Gimnastic de Tarragona -
CE Atletic Lleida -
TBD -
TBD -
Espanyol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
1/64-finals
Mutilvera 1
Zaragoza 3
Atletico Tordesillas 1
Burgos CF 2
Navalcarnero 2
AD Merida 1
Inter de Valdemoro 0
Getafe 11
Atletico Astorga 1
Mirandes 2
Caudal Deportivo 0
Gijon 1
Puente Genil 0
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Maracena 0
Valencia 5
CD Tropezon 1
Leonesa 3
Valle Egues 1
FC Andorra 5
Ciudad Cieza 1
Cordoba 0
Orihuela 3
Levante 4
Ourense CF 4
Real Oviedo 2
Constancia 2
Girona 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Portugalete 1
Valladolid 0
Deportivo Getxo 0
Alaves 7
CD Extremadura 3
Las Palmas 1
Toledo 1
Sevilla 4
RSD Alcala 0
Tenerife 4
Roda 1
Granada CF 5
Real Avila 1
Real Aviles 0
CD Yuncos 1
Rayo Vallecano 6
Jaen 1
Eldense 3
Lorca Deportiva 0
Almeria 2
Reus FC Reddis 3
CE Europa 2
SD Negreira 0
Real Sociedad 3
Langreo 0
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Utebo FC 0
Huesca 3
Ebro 2
Tarazona 1
CD Sant Jordi 0
Osasuna 5
CD Azuaga 1
Leganes 4
UD San Fernando 0
Albacete 3
Sant Andreu 2
Teruel 1
Puerto de Vega 0
Celta Vigo 2
Rayo Majadahonda 1
CF Talavera 4
CD Estepona 1
Malaga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid -
UD Logrones 1
Ponferradina 3
SD Logrones 0
Racing Santander 4
Antoniano 1
Castellon 0
Ciudad de Lucena 0
Villarreal 6
Guadalajara 2
Cacereno 1
La Union (Malacitano) 0
AD Ceuta 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barcelona -
Murcia 2
Antequera 1
UCAM Murcia 1
Cadiz 3
Torrent 3
Torremolinos 1
Atletico Palma del Rio 1
Betis 7
UD Ourense 1
Pontevedra 2
Naxara 2
Eibar 4
Quintanar del Rey 2
UD Ibiza 1
UD Los Garres 0
Elche 4
UD Poblense 1
Sabadell 2
UD Samano 1
Dep. A Coruna 5
Numancia 3
Arenas Getxo 0
Atletic Sant Just FC 0
Mallorca 2
Baleares 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona 0
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Espanyol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
1/32-finals
Zaragoza 0
Burgos CF 1
Navalcarnero 2
Getafe 3
Mirandes 0
Gijon 2
FC Cartagena SAD 1
Valencia 2
Leonesa 4
FC Andorra 2
Ciudad Cieza 0
Levante 1
Ourense CF 2
Girona 1
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Portugalete 0
Alaves 3
CD Extremadura 1
Sevilla 2
Tenerife 0
Granada CF 1
Real Avila 1
Rayo Vallecano 2
Eldense 2
Almeria 1
Reus FC Reddis 0
Real Sociedad 2
Racing Club Ferrol 0
Huesca 2
Ebro 3
Osasuna 5
Leganes 1
Albacete 2
Sant Andreu 1
Celta Vigo 2
CF Talavera 2
Malaga 1
TBD -
Real Madrid -
Ponferradina 1
Racing Santander 2
Antoniano 1
Villarreal 2
Guadalajara 1
AD Ceuta 0
TBD -
Barcelona -
Murcia 3
Cadiz 2
Torrent 1
Betis 4
Pontevedra 0
Eibar 3
Quintanar del Rey 1
Elche 2
Sabadell 0
Dep. A Coruna 2
Numancia 2
Mallorca 3
Baleares 1
Espanyol 0
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
1/16-finals
Burgos CF 3
Getafe 1
Gijon 0
Valencia 2
Leonesa 1
Levante 0
Ourense CF 0
Ath Bilbao 1
Alaves 1
Sevilla 0
Granada CF 1
Rayo Vallecano 3
Eldense 1
Real Sociedad 2
Huesca 2
Osasuna 4
Albacete 3
Celta Vigo 2
CF Talavera 2
Real Madrid 3
Racing Santander 2
Villarreal 1
Guadalajara 0
Barcelona 2
Murcia 0
Betis 2
Eibar 0
Elche 1
Dep. A Coruna 1
Mallorca 0
Baleares 2
Atl. Madrid 3
1/8-finals
Burgos CF 0
Valencia 2
Leonesa 3
Ath Bilbao 4
Alaves 2
Rayo Vallecano 0
Real Sociedad 3
Osasuna 2
Albacete 3
Real Madrid 2
Racing Santander 0
Barcelona 2
Betis 2
Elche 1
Dep. A Coruna 0
Atl. Madrid 1
Quarter-finals
Albacete 1
Barcelona 2
Betis 0
Atl. Madrid 5
Valencia 1
Ath Bilbao 2
Alaves 2
Real Sociedad 3
Semi-finals
Barcelona 3
Atl. Madrid 4
Ath Bilbao 0
Real Sociedad 2
Final
Atl. Madrid 2
Real Sociedad 3