Sport Picks

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RTU vs Ogre

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2017
RTU Logo

RTU

Sat, Aug 12, 2017
VS
11:00 AM
Ogre Logo

Ogre

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

RTU host Ogre in the 1. Liga 2017. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. RTU have averaged 3.13 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against Ogre's 1.25 scored and 3.5 conceded. Past meetings favor RTU slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2017, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.23 vs 1.44, favoring RTU. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
RTU
15%
Draws
67%
Ogre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ogre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • RTU carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ogre a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
RTU Clean Sheet 16%
Ogre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RTU Ogre
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 14 1
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 3.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.65 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2017 1. Liga
RTU vs Ogre
0:0
Jun 25, 2017 Latvian Cup
RTU vs Ogre
6:1
Apr 22, 2017 1. Liga
Ogre vs RTU
0:0
Aug 14, 2016 1. Liga
Ogre vs RTU
1:2
Apr 17, 2016 1. Liga
RTU vs Ogre
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RTU 19 / 100
Ogre 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RTU Ogre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RTU scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Ogre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Ogre has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

RTU VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RTU

(Home)
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
27 Jun
RTU
1 : 2
JFC Viola
23 Jul
Dobele Allegro
3 : 2
RTU
21 Oct
RTU
2 : 2
Grobina
13 Oct
Super Nova
3 : 0
RTU
Page 1 of 7

Ogre

(Away)
25 Jun
RTU
6 : 1
Ogre
05 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 1
Ogre
29 Oct
Ogre
3 : 0
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS
22 Oct
Valmiera
5 : 0
Ogre

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)