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Rubin Yalta vs Chernomorets Sevastopol

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea) 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Strelov I.
6' Event
Sanakoev G.
10'
Gevorgian A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) 2023 game between Rubin Yalta and Chernomorets Sevastopol finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubin Yalta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rubin Yalta
40%
Draws
29%
Chernomorets Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 20%
Chernomorets Sevastopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Chernomorets Sevastopol
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Rubin Yalta vs Chernomorets Sevastopol
4:0
Apr 12, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Chernomorets Sevastopol vs Rubin Yalta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanakoev G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filatov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chernomorets Sevastopol Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 32 / 100
Chernomorets Sevastopol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Chernomorets Sevastopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Rubin Yalta found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Chernomorets Sevastopol conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Solid form: Rubin Yalta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Yalta VS Chernomorets Sevastopol
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%