Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ismailov A.
7' Event
Polyakh D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Rubin Yalta and FK Pobeda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rubin Yalta
15%
Draws
49%
FK Pobeda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Pobeda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FK Pobeda's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Rubin Yalta have produced (1.55).
  • Rubin Yalta are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 17%
FK Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta FK Pobeda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta
3:2
Sep 14, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs FK Pobeda
2:0
May 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FK Pobeda vs Rubin Yalta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Polyakh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Pobeda Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismailov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 41 / 100
FK Pobeda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta FK Pobeda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Pobeda conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rubin Yalta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Yalta VS FK Pobeda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Yalta

(Home)
03 Oct
Rubin Yalta
4 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
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FK Pobeda

(Away)
03 Oct
Angust Nazran
1 : 0
FK Pobeda
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
20 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
0 : 2
FK Pobeda
12 Sept
FK Pobeda
2 : 1
Astrakhan
05 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 2
FK Pobeda
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