Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubio Nu vs Cerro Porteno

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Bobadilla C. In: Dominguez C.
Out: Bobadilla C.
46'
Sub
Klimowicz M. In: Aliseda I.
Out: Klimowicz M.
46'
Sub
Palacios J. In: Perez E.
Out: Palacios J.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between Rubio Nu and Cerro Porteno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubio Nu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rubio Nu
28%
Draws
50%
Cerro Porteno
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerro Porteno come out ahead of Rubio Nu on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Cerro Porteno taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 27%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Cerro Porteno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu
2:0
Mar 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Cerro Porteno
2:0
Aug 3, 2022 Copa Paraguay
Rubio Nu vs Cerro Porteno
1:0
Nov 18, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Cerro Porteno
0:3
Sep 9, 2017 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Rubio Nu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cerro Porteno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 25 / 100
Cerro Porteno 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Cerro Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Rubio Nu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cerro Porteno has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Cerro Porteno
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115