Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubio Nu vs Guarani

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Manzur G.
41'
Segovia I.
42' Event
Mendieta W.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Guarani advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rubio Nu
44%
Draws
20%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani haven't matched Rubio Nu's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rubio Nu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guarani have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Guarani
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
4:0
Nov 12, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 1, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:1
Jun 18, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaracho S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 36 / 100
Guarani 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Rubio Nu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rubio Nu scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Guarani
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
02 May
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Rubio Nu
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Guarani

(Away)
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1
Guarani
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0
Guarani
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
26 Apr
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)