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Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Feliu J. In: Espinola C.
Out: Feliu J.
8'
Vallejos J.
29'
Colman Escobar D. J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rubio Nu
30%
Draws
47%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubio Nu haven't matched Nacional Asuncion's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Oct 21, 2017 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:1
Aug 11, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 11 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Nacional Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nacional Asuncion has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Rubio Nu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Nacional Asuncion
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Asuncion

(Away)
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)