Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubio Nu vs Recoleta

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Parzajuk K.
46'
Sub
Medina B. In: Galeano F.
Out: Medina B.
46'
Sub
Baez W. In: Lopez H.
Out: Baez W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rubio Nu
20%
Draws
73%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Recoleta come out ahead of Rubio Nu on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Recoleta taking it.
  • Recoleta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 13%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Recoleta
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:3
Mar 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Recoleta vs Rubio Nu
2:0
Apr 19, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Recoleta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz Diaz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Parzajuk K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 10 / 100
Recoleta 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rubio Nu stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Recoleta
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3
Recoleta
02 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
5 : 0
Rubio Nu
28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
24 Jul
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3
Recoleta
03 Aug
Recoleta
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
30 Jul
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 1
Recoleta
25 Jul
Recoleta
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
27 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Recoleta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 5 4 1 0 7:3 13
2 Libertad Asuncion 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Sportivo Trinidense 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
4 Guarani 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
5 Recoleta 5 2 1 2 9:10 7
6 Sportivo Ameliano 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Sp. Luqueno 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
8 Nacional Asuncion 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
9 Olimpia Asuncion 4 1 0 3 5:4 3
10 Cerro Porteno 4 1 0 3 5:5 3
11 San Lorenzo 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
12 Rubio Nu 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)