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Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Blasi B.
Assist: Rojas R.
32'
Sub
Pereira B. In: Perez E.
Out: Pereira B.
42'
Caceres L.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between Rubio Nu and San Lorenzo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubio Nu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Rubio Nu
17%
Draws
13%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rubio Nu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rubio Nu come out ahead of San Lorenzo on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Rubio Nu taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rubio Nu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 2, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Blasi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leguizamon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

San Lorenzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 77 / 100
San Lorenzo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Lorenzo conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Rubio Nu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS San Lorenzo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115